#3 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Dallas Stars -110 over Vegas Golden Knights, Friday at 10 PM ET - The Stars have won 3 straight games in this series as they look to exact revenge for getting knocked out of the post-season by the Golden Knights last season when Vegas was on their way to the Stanley Cup. The Stars have had the goalie edge in this series and, not including an empty net goal, have allowed just 2 goals in each of last 4 games! Vegas, on the other hand (and not including empty netter), have allowed at least 3 goals in 4 of the 5 games. So Dallas has had the upper hand in this series and they have all the momentum with 3 straight wins. Also, the road team had taken 6 straight games in this series (dating back to the regular season) prior to the Stars getting the win on home ice in Game 5 in Dallas! In other words, home ice has not been a big deal in meetings between these teams and Dallas has already won both meetings at Vegas in this series! The Stars had the best road record of any team in the NHL in the regular season. Now, 2-0 in the post-season on the road and Dallas has won 10 of last 11 games away from home. The Stars have scored at least 3 goals in all 10 of those wins. Now, remember what we said above about Vegas being held to just 2 goals in 4 straight games and you can see why we especially like the value with the road team in this one. Jake Oettinger has been fantastic in goal for the Stars and allowed just 2 goals in 4 straight games. The Golden Knights were riding Thompson in goal and then switched to Hill in Game 5 and lost. They are going with Hill again here and though that worked last year, Hill instead of Brossoit, it seems like the switch to Hill this season - instead of Thompson - might prove to be their undoing. Remember that Hill allowed 3 or more goals in 10 of his last 11 starts this season. Those 10 starts saw 4 goals on average and, again, the Knights have not been able to get more than 2 past Oettinger in any of the last 4 games. Dallas is the bet here.

#918 ASA PLAY ON Houston Astros -110 over Seattle Mariners, Friday at 8:10 PM ET - This is a solid value spot on the Astros,. Houston got off to such a bad start this season that they are flying under the radar now that they are finally starting to turn the corner. The Astros have won 4 of 5 games and scored an average of 8 runs per game in this 5-game stretch yet, with an 11-20 record on the season, Houston is off the radar of most people. Here they host a Mariners team that is in first place in the division but just barely over .500 and, in fact, is just 6-6 on the road this season. Seattle has lost 3 of 8 games and scored an average of 3 runs during this stretch. So it is easy to see who is hotter at the plate right now. The scheduled starting pitchers are George Kirby and Ronel Blanco here. Kirby has solid overall numbers but has not been as strong on the road this season. That was also the case last season so the home / road variance of Kirby is not a fluke. The Astros Blanco has been fantastic this season and, at times, practically unhittable. Opponents are hitting only .144 against Blanco this season and he has a 3-0 record and a 1.65 ERA. We like the hot home team looking to gain some early season ground on the first place team in their division. Houston is use to being one of the best teams and their slow start is leading to big value here. Grab the high value low pick'em price with the home team here! Astros get the call in this one Friday.

#203334 ASA PLAY ON Toulouse over Montpellier, Friday at 1 PM ET - This one in French Ligue 1 action. Revenge game for Toulouse as they lost the first meeting at Montpellier early this season 3-0. That is not the type of loss that is easily forgotten about and Toulouse had won the two meetings before that by a combined score of 6-3. Toulouse enters this one on a 5-game unbeaten stretch. Montpellier has also played well of late but they played a weak schedule in terms of most of the opponents in their 5-game unbeaten run. So Montpellier is a bit over-valued right now. Toulouse is trying to make a big push for a top six spot in the table and they still have a shot at that. At home and ready for revenge and playing on a hot streak too, Toulouse gets it done here. Our computer math model shows strong odds of a big home win here Friday! Take Toulouse on Friday afternoon.

ASA top play on Orlando Magic -3.5 vs Cleveland Cavaliers, 7 PM ET - The home team is 5-0 SU in this series and all but one of those home wins have come by 10 or more points. We were on the Cavs last game and unbeknownst to us the Cavs Jarrett Allen was ruled out shortly before tipoff. Cleveland managed to win but it was by 1-point. We talked about how ‘average’ the Magic are on the road, but at home they are fantastic. They are 31-12 SU at home on the season with an average +/- of plus +8.9PPG which is the 4th best average in the NBA. Cleveland is only 1-game over .500 on the road this season with a negative point differential of minus -0.4PPG. The young Magic feed off their home crowd which has helped them beat this Cavaliers team in 3 of four meetings this season, with wins of 10, 38 and 23. Orlando is better in terms of offensive efficiency in this series and they have the 2nd best defensive efficiency rating in the playoffs allowing just .973-points per possession. We like the Magic to force a game 7 with a solid home win Friday night.